The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 46.6%
Draw 27.9%
Avaí 25.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.2%
28%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46%
27.8%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Náutico Capibaribe - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 15th and 17th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Náutico (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Avaí have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Avaí has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Náutico holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Náutico has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:16 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Náutico against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Nautico
35
11
10
14
39:46
-7
43
17
Avai
35
10
7
18
33:45
-12
37
Last Results with these Odds
Náutico Capibaribe - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.24%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
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