The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 47%
Draw 29.2%
Ituano 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
27.3%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
25.9%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Náutico Capibaribe's form might have worsened.
Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
10%
60%
Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Náutico will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ituano will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ituano: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Ituano (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Ituano (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Náutico (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ituano (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wellerson R. (G) 33. Carlinhos 70. Igor Bolt 8. Marco Antonio 17. Marcos Ytalo 34. Otusanya O. 20. Patrick Allan 26. Raimar 3. Rayan 41. Samuel 7. Vinicius (C)
1. Pegorari (G) 5. Bruno Silva (C) 14. Carlao 11. Fernandinho 9. Gabriel Razera 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Leo Passos 4. Matheus Mancini 7. Neto Berola 2. Thassio 8. Victor Reis
Substitutes
35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 21. Felipe Redaelli 16. Felipe Santana 36. Halan 11. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 13. Indio 27. Kauan Maranhao 15. Kayon 12. Kelvin 32. Leo (G) 48. Ribeiro W.
15. Daniel 17. Felipe Muranga 20. Fernando Canesin 3. Grigor 16. Gustavo 13. Kaio Mendes 18. Thiago Moraes 12. Vagner (G) 19. Vinicius Popo 21. Ze Carlos
Coaches
Helio dos Anjos
de Freitas U.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Samuel 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Otusanya O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Vinicius Popo ↓, Fernando Canesin ↑,
56', Victor Reis ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
56', Gabriel Razera ↓, Felipe Muranga ↑,
66', Vinicius ↓, Kelvin ↑,
66', Patrick Allan ↓, Felipe Redaelli ↑,
70', Carlinhos 🟨,
71', Raimar ↓, Igor Fernandes ↑,
76', Samuel ↓, Indio ↑,
76', Igor Bolt ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
83', Bruno Silva 🟨,
85', Bruno Silva ↓, Grigor ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Náutico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Náutico has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ituano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Náutico is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Náutico will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Náutico won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Brazil
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