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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 36.6%
Draw 29.2%
Vila Nova 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
29.1%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
28.9%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Náutico won 1.
In recent outings, Náutico has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Vila Nova is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Náutico may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Náutico has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:14 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Náutico against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Vila Nova FC: 22.07% Nautico: 0.3%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Vila Nova FC
32
17
7
8
44:31
13
58
13
Nautico
32
11
9
12
39:40
-1
42
Last Results with these Odds
Vila Nova - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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