Match Info

Date: 29 August 2021, Sunday


	Náutico Capibaribe		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2	3.2	3.4	Watch
	1.99	3.05	3.85
	2.07	3.25	4.09
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.04	3.24	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
45.9%

Draw
29.3%

Vitória Salvador
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

28.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

22.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Náutico Capibaribe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Náutico is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Náutico will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
24.08.21	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
17.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
11.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
07.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
21.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Guarani	1:0 ✺
18.08.21	Vila Nova - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
15.08.21	Vitória Salvador - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
11.08.21	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
07.08.21	Vitória Salvador - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
07.06.21	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
25.11.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	0:0
19.08.20	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
30.03.19	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
31.10.15	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	2:3
25.07.15	Náutico Capibaribe - Vitória Salvador	2:1
Club Friendly
22.01.15	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2

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