Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.62
	4.6	3.6	1.61
	5	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.3	3.45	1.67
	4.49	3.77	1.62
	4.8	3.7	1.62
	4.98	3.78	1.67
	5.2	3.7	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.06)	3.66 ↓ (3.94)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
19%

Draw
25.1%

Vasco da Gama
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.5%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Vasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
24.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Nação	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Concórdia - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Hercílio Luz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWLW
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
24.02.24	Vasco da Gama - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	2:4 ✺
14.02.24	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
08.02.24	Vasco da Gama - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vasco da Gama - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWT

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