Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 30

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Hiiu Stadium (Tallinn)

Referee: Laane K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Nõmme Kalju		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.10	4.80
	1.5	4.05	5.4
	1.51	4.42	5.45
	1.51	4.5	5.3	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.3
	1.47	4.2	5.31	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	4.27 ↑ (4.05)	5.25 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
61.2%

Draw
21.4%

Harju JK Laagri
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Pavlov M. (G) 46. Vukusic R. 50. Podholjuzin M. 5. Korre U. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 20. Tambedou M. 26. Siht R. 8. Musolitin O. 10. Ivanov N. (C) 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 30. Jabir I.	1. Vainula J. (G) 7. Reimaa R. 6. Palutaja H. 24. Laur K. 22. Kesa M. 17. Kelement M. 88. Seck M. 23. Rudenko Daniil 16. Kriis K. (C) 19. Binate A. 9. Eerme K.
Substitutes
21. Baptista T. 74. Jekimov F. 2. Lillemets J. 27. Mannilaan M. 78. Mashchenko D. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G)	18. Bah I. 3. Kaevats A. 32. Kerge S. 15. Liit S. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 66. Roomussaar K. 36. Salei S. 21. Soo S. 95. Suppi S. 20. Vaher A.
Coaches
Andreev N.	Nuuma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Tambedou M. 🟨,
59', Lotar Eyang E. E. ↓, Mannilaan M. ↑,
66', Kriis K. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
66', Eerme K. ↓, Kaevats A. ↑,
66', Kesa M. ↓, Soo S. ↑,
72', Tambedou M. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
80', Kelement M. ↓, Roomussaar K. ↑,
86', Mannilaan M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Roomussaar K. ⚽,
90+1', Musolitin O. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Nõmme Kalju could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Nõmme Kalju carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Nõmme Kalju has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:9 (averaging 1.6:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nõmme Kalju against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:2 goals (averaging 1.4:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Kalju	30	15	5	10	52:28	24	50
6	Harju JK Laagri	30	12	2	16	41:47	-6	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLL
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Cup
03.10.26	FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	0:10 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
22.08.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:0
20.05.26	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0
08.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	0:2
19.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	1:3
24.09.25	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme Kalju	2:3
18.06.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0
09.04.25	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	3:0

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