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Current Win Probability
Nõmme Kalju 69.7%
Draw 17%
Nõmme United 13.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
20.6%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
15.3%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme Kalju's performance.
Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-24.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme Kalju that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perk H. (C) 5. Korre U. 46. Vukusic R. 20. Tambedou M. 4. Borolinstsikov A. 8. Musolitin O. 26. Siht R. 21. Baptista T. 10. Ivanov N. 27. Mannilaan M. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E.
71. Purg G. (G) 4. Alteberg A. 2. Morishige Y. 6. Palts M. 11. Chisala B. 10. Frolov A. (C) 7. Torres A. 45. Jarvelaid H. 51. Beglarishvili Z. 20. Matas K. 19. Krasnov I.
Substitutes
52. Idalecio 30. Jabir I. 74. Jekimov F. 22. Nikolajev A. 69. Pavlov M. (G) 50. Podholjuzin M. 88. Sotsugov D. 7. Tarassenkov D.
55. Chanda R. 16. Dacosta O. 15. Evans T. 50. Geiger S. 1. Lagus G. (G) 3. Merilai S. 27. Miil M. 26. Oostenbrink K. 13. Truuvaart A. 14. Vassiljev N.
Coaches
Andreev N.
Wynalda E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Torres A. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
33', Jarvelaid H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Chisala B. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
46', Baptista T. ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
59', Matas K. ↓, Vassiljev N. ↑,
61', Musolitin O. ↓, Jekimov F. ↑,
65', Beglarishvili Z. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Ivanov N. ⚽, Lotar Eyang E. E. (A),
77', Torres A. ↓, Dacosta O. ↑,
79', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Evans T. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Evans T. 🟨,
85', Krasnov I. 🟨,
90+2', Ivanov N. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Nõmme Kalju may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Nõmme Kalju is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 3:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).
Estonia
Usa
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Perk H. (C) 
Vukusic R. 
Tambedou M. 
Musolitin O. 
Baptista T. 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
Morishige Y. 
Chisala B. 
Torres A. 
Beglarishvili Z. 
Jabir I. 
Pavlov M. (G) 
Evans T. 
Geiger S. 
Oostenbrink K. 
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