Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 34

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Vos M. (Ned)


	NAC Breda		Dordrecht

	1	X	2
	2	4	3.2	Watch
	1.93	3.7	3.25
	2.05	3.75	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.99	3.25
	2.07	4	3.27
	1.95	3.75	3.1
	2.04	3.84	3.18	Watch
	1.97	3.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)	3.85 ↓ (4.09)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
46.4%

Draw
24.3%

Dordrecht
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

22.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Dordrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dordrecht than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	22.2%	22.2%

NAC Breda - Dordrecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Dordrecht will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Troost T. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 20. Jensen F. 6. Staring C. 7. Garbett M. 22. Omgba A. 39. Janosek D. 10. Omarsson E.	1. Plogmann L. (G) 2. Seydoux L. 15. Kluivert R. 3. van den Avert J. 5. Hilton J. 6. Receveur T. 22. Zand S. 7. Mbayo D. 20. Suray M. (C) 40. Sebaoui I. 9. Kriwak R.
Substitutes
23. Besselink R. 19. Boere T. 9. Haugen S. 3. Koscelnik M. 17. Kuijpers R. 27. Marijnissen T. 36. van de Merbel P. (G) 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.	63. Biai C. (G) 28. Brito E. 14. Bronkhorst I. 31. Doornbusch T. (G) 17. Osundina K. 21. Shein R. R. 24. Smolarczyk B. 8. van Gennip J. 12. van Gogh R. 26. van Vianen D.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Santoni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Garbett M. ⚽, Omgba A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Suray M. ⚽, Receveur T. (A),
32', Troost T. ↓, van de Merbel P. ↑,
39', 1 - 2, Sebaoui I. ⚽, Mbayo D. (A),
45', Mbayo D. 🟨,
45', Royo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 3, Kriwak R. ⚽, Receveur T. (A),
63', Kriwak R. ↓, Osundina K. ↑,
63', Mbayo D. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
66', 1 - 4, Osundina K. ⚽, Sebaoui I. (A),
66', Staring C. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
66', Janosek D. ↓, Boere T. ↑,
71', Kluivert R. ↓, Smolarczyk B. ↑,
80', Hilton J. ↓, Brito E. ↑,
80', Receveur T. ↓, Bronkhorst I. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 2.

Recent matches Breda is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dordrecht is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breda will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Breda: Van den Bergh J. (Yellow Cards) Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dordrecht: Reemst B. (Injury) Schuurman J. (Groin Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Breda won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Roda - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
15.03.24	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Jong Ajax - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLWW
- FC Dordrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.04.24	Dordrecht - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	0:3 ✺
15.03.24	Dordrecht - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
11.03.24	ADO Den Haag - Dordrecht	2:2 ✺
08.03.24	Dordrecht - Telstar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.08.23	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	2:2
24.02.23	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	3:2
22.10.22	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	0:3
22.04.22	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	1:2
05.11.21	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	2:1
19.02.21	Dordrecht - NAC Breda	2:3
06.12.20	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	0:1

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