Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 36

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)

Referee: Smit N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	NAC Breda		Jong PSV

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.33	4.75
	1.55	4.75	5
	1.57	4.79	5.09
	1.57	4.79	5.05
	1.5	4.4	5
	1.54	4.6	5.04	Watch
	1.49	4.4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)	4.55 ↑ (4.27)	5.04 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
60.9%

Draw
20.6%

Jong PSV
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

NAC Breda - Jong PSV Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 6. Staring C. 3. Koscelnik M. 39. Janosek D. 20. Jensen F. 10. Omarsson E. 19. Boere T.	1. Schiks N. (G) 2. van de Blaak E. 3. Egan-Riley C. 4. Dams M. 5. Jansen K. 31. Land T. 8. Jimenez M. 10. Simons J. 18. Geerts E. 20. Bars E. 9. Uneken J.
Substitutes
7. Garbett M. 9. Haugen S. 17. Kuijpers R. 22. Omgba A. 21. Royo M. 25. Valerius C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.	14. Dagasan M. 17. Houben I. 15. Kuhn W. 19. Kwaaitaal J. 11. Nassoh M. 16. Peersman K. (G) 22. Rovers B. 23. Steur R. (G)
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Boessen W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Koscelnik M. ⚽, Janosek D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Kemper B. ↓, Royo M. ↑,
59', Boere T. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
62', Simons J. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
62', Jimenez M. ↓, Kuhn W. ↑,
69', Koscelnik M. ↓, Garbett M. ↑,
69', Jensen F. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
78', Royo M. 🟨,
79', van de Blaak E. ↓, Dagasan M. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Omgba A. ⚽, Van den Bergh J. (A),
88', Bars E. ↓, Kwaaitaal J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breda won 4.

Breda is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jong PSV is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Breda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Breda is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Breda won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Breda won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.04.24	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	1:4 ✺
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Roda - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTLL
- Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.04.24	Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	FC Eindhoven - Jong PSV	2:5 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
09.04.24	West Ham United U21 - Jong PSV	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.04.24	Telstar - Jong PSV	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Jong PSV - Roda	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.12.23	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	0:5
06.03.23	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	1:2
06.01.23	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:1
25.02.22	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	3:1
22.11.21	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	0:0
18.01.21	Jong PSV - NAC Breda	1:1
26.09.20	NAC Breda - Jong PSV	2:1

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