Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 35

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Den Bosch		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.2
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.31	3.55	2.2
	3.31	3.55	2.2
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.24	3.48	2.13	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.67)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	2.15 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
29.2%

Draw
27.2%

NAC Breda
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

26.2%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25.6%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NAC Breda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Den Bosch - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Breda will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Hegyi K. (G) 18. Mulders R. 3. van den Bogert V. 15. van Grunsven T. 5. Mbete L. 14. de Groot N. 16. Vicario J. 6. Zelalem G. 10. Oulad M'Hand S. 11. Verbeek D. 99. Kostorz K.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Martina C. (C) 5. Van den Bergh J. 21. Royo M. 22. Omgba A. 7. Garbett M. 20. Jensen F. 39. Janosek D. 19. Boere T. 10. Omarsson E.
Substitutes
47. Barglan S. 1. Bijlsma T. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 21. Brouwers B. (G) 45. Gyamfi D. 27. Henning R. 4. Ikeshita Y. 34. Keijser Y. 33. Laros M. 30. Ogbaidze S. 19. van Bakel S. 8. van Hedel R.	23. Besselink R. 9. Haugen S. 3. Koscelnik M. 17. Kuijpers R. 27. Marijnissen T. 6. Staring C. 37. van Lare A. (G) 35. van Schuppen B. 31. Wernersson V.
Coaches
van Overbeek W.	van Gastel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
26', 1 - 0, Oulad M'Hand S. ⚽, Verbeek D. (A),
35', de Groot N. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Boere T. ⚽,
45', Verbeek D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Lucassen B. ⚽, Omarsson E. (A),
45+3', Mbete L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Verbeek D. ↓, Ogbaidze S. ↑,
61', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
71', Boere T. ↓, Haugen S. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Kostorz K. ⚽,
75', Zelalem G. 🟨,
80', Garbett M. ↓, Kuijpers R. ↑,
83', Zelalem G. ↓, Ikeshita Y. ↑,
90', Kostorz K. ↓, van Bakel S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 1.

Recent matches Den Bosch is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Breda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Breda will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Breda: Vet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Leemans C. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.04.24	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Jong Ajax - Den Bosch	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Den Bosch - Dordrecht	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Den Bosch - Willem II	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLLL
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.04.24	NAC Breda - Dordrecht	1:4 ✺
07.04.24	Groningen - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	NAC Breda - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Roda - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
15.03.24	NAC Breda - VVV-Venlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.11.23	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	1:0
07.04.23	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:0
28.10.22	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	3:2
13.02.22	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:0
03.12.21	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	0:5
23.01.21	Den Bosch - NAC Breda	1:1
14.09.20	NAC Breda - Den Bosch	2:1

Upcoming Matches