The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almere City 32.6%
Draw 28.3%
NEC Nijmegen 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
25.4%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
25.7%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
16.7%
70.8%
Almere City - NEC Nijmegen Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 56% – 91.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 20. Akujobi H. 4. Visus R. 22. Barbet T. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 27. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 5. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C)
22. Roefs R. (G) 2. Pereira B. 4. Marquez I. 17. Nuytinck B. (C) 5. Ouwejan T. 6. Hoedemakers M. 23. Sano K. 32. van Crooij V. 25. Ouaissa S. 11. Onal B. 18. Ogawa K.
Substitutes
6. Carbonell A. 2. Dankerlui D. 17. Hansen K. 3. Jacobs Jo. 25. Mamengi C. 24. Mattoir F. 16. Nalic A. 7. Providence R. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)
8. Darelas A. 7. Gonzalez R. 10. Hansen S. 31. Janse R. (G) 19. Lyratzis L. 20. Schone L. 9. Shiogai K. 1. van Gassel S. (G) 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Maduro H.
Meijer R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Pereira B. 🟨,
45', Haye T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Pereira B. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
58', Ouaissa S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
59', Onal B. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
65', Tahiri A. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
72', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Mattoir F. ↑,
73', Kadile J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Nuytinck B. (Own goal),
82', van Crooij V. ↓, Schone L. ↑,
82', Sano K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
85', Akujobi H. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
85', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 1.
The competitors look crappy now.
Nijmegen will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Proper D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sandler P.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Almere City: Lawrence J.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Almere City won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:33 (average 1.1:2.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:15 (average 1:2.1).