Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Goffertstadion (Nijmegen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	18:45	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra


	NEC Nijmegen		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.75
	1.47	4.95	5.9
	1.48	5	6.32
	1.47	4.85	6	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.52	4.82	6.04	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.8 ↑ (4.45)	5.97 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NEC Nijmegen
64.4%

Draw
19.8%

Zwolle
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.7%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.7%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Zwolle (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 40%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 14. Dasa E. 3. Sandler P. 4. Kaplan A. 25. Ouaissa S. 23. Sano K. 20. Lebreton N. 11. Onal B. 10. Chery T. (C) 18. Ogawa K. 30. Linssen B.	16. de Graaff T. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 25. Oosting T. 30. Thomas R. (C) 35. Monteiro J. 9. Namli Y. 10. Kostons K. 7. Shoretire S.
Substitutes
22. Cillessen J. (G) 35. de Laat S. 24. Fonville D. 31. Janse R. (G) 39. Kers K. 7. Misidjan V. 26. Nieuwenhuijs L. 5. Ouwejan T. 2. Pereira B. 71. Proper D. 15. Willems J.	3. Aertssen O. 29. Buitink T. 22. de Rooij K. 40. Dobben N. (G) 19. Faberski J. 34. Fichtinger N. 20. Reiziger G. 42. Ruward D. 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Van Der Vegt H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Namli Y. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
23', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
38', Shoretire S. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
64', Thomas R. 🟨,
74', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
75', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
75', Ogawa K. ↓, Kers K. ↑,
76', Namli Y. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Chery T. ⚽, Pereira B. (A),
80', Oosting T. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
89', Monteiro J. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
90+2', Chery T. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
90+5', Crettaz G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.

Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zwolle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.

In this match, Nijmegen is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F. (Knee Injury) Misidjan V. (Inactive) Nejasmic D. (Injury) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Ouaissa S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S. (Inactive) Schendelaar J. (Injury) Velanas O. (Ankle Injury) Voute D. (Inactive) van der Haar D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y. (Wrist Injury)

We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nijmegen	10	2	5	3	17:18	-1	11
15	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	11:23	-12	8

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Nijmegen: 0.17% Zwolle: 0.09%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NEC Nijmegen
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.01.26	De Treffers - NEC Nijmegen	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	3:4 ✺
20.12.25	NEC Nijmegen - Ajax	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.12.25	Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.12.25	Telstar - NEC Nijmegen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
17.01.26	Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Twente - Zwolle	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Excelsior - Zwolle	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Zwolle - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Feyenoord - Zwolle	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	2:2
11.01.25	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	0:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	4:3 ET
Dutch Eredivisie
24.08.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	1:0
14.04.24	NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle	2:2
09.12.23	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3
05.02.22	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:1

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