The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 45.7%
Draw 25.7%
Zwolle 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
26.2%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
25.2%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
52.9%
17.6%
Excelsior - Zwolle Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Excelsior will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Zwolle will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% โ 76.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. Bronkhorst I. 3. Meissen R. 4. Widell C. (C) 12. Zagre A. 10. Naujoks N. 20. Hartjes L. 23. Yegoian I. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 33. Bergraaf J. 11. de Regt G.
16. de Graaff T. (G) 6. Gooijer T. 28. Graves S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 2. Floranus S. 30. Thomas R. (C) 8. Buurmeester Z. 7. Shoretire S. 25. Oosting T. 22. de Rooij K. 10. Kostons K.
Substitutes
6. Carlen A. 34. El Hamdaoui N. 5. Henderikx S. 15. Janssen S. 16. Raatsie C. (G) 14. Schouten L. 29. van Duinen M. 9. Wlodarczyk S. 7. Yoon D.
48. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 19. Faberski J. 34. Fichtinger N. 11. Mbayo D. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 38. Renwarin G. 42. Ruward D. 33. van der Haar D. 41. Verduin D. (G)
Coaches
den Uil R.
Van Der Vegt H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Naujoks N. ⚽, Sanches Fernandes D. (A),
35', Gooijer T. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Thomas R. ⚽, Floranus S. (A),
63', Thomas R. 🟨,
64', Bergraaf J. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
70', Oosting T. ↓, Fichtinger N. ↑,
72', Hartjes L. ↓, Schouten L. ↑,
76', Zagre A. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Yegoian I. ⚽, Wlodarczyk S. (A),
82', Graves S. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
87', Sanches Fernandes D. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Excelsior might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Excelsior: Nadje C.
(Inactive)
Tielemans M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Zwolle: Aertssen O.
(Inactive)
Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Manu B. M.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Zwolle: Voute D.
(Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:36. (average 0.8:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 1:2.6).
Netherlands
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van Gassel S. (G) 
Widell C. (C) 
Zagre A. 
Yegoian I. 
Graves S. 
Garcia MacNulty A. 
Floranus S. 
Thomas R. (C) 
Shoretire S. 
Wlodarczyk S. 
Yoon D. 
Mbayo D. 
