Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Referee: Dunajec D. (Uru)


	Rentistas		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.1	2.05
	3.35	3.1	2.08
	3.69	3.34	2.16
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.4	3.32	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.97)	3.19 ↓ (3.31)	2.09 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
26.9%

Draw
28.9%

Defensor Sporting
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

28.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.6%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Rentistas - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rentistas will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensor Sporting: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rentistas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Defensor Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rentistas won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Rentistas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.05.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
21.05.22	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
13.05.22	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
08.05.22	Rentistas - Boston River	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Plaza Colonia - Rentistas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.05.22	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Defensor Sporting - Nacional Montevideo	0:2 ✺
07.05.22	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:3 ✺
25.04.22	Defensor Sporting - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.03.21	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	0:0
07.10.20	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	2:0
06.03.16	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	0:1
Club Friendly
26.01.16	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.09.15	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	2:0
22.02.15	Rentistas - Defensor Sporting	2:6
22.08.14	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	1:2

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