The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 45.9%
Draw 27.3%
Rio Ave 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.1%
27.5%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
27.2%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
68.2%
27.3%
4.5%
Nacional - Rio Ave Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 48.7% – 87.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nacional will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kaique Pereira (G) 16. Nunez A. 34. Leo Santos 38. Ze Vitor 5. Jose Gomes 26. Silva J. 6. Matheus Dias 28. Liziero 27. Gabriel Veron 9. Ramirez J. (C) 11. Paulinho Boia
22. Chamorro K. (G) 23. Petrasso F. 32. Brabec J. 6. Abbey N. 20. Tome J. 44. Nikitscher T. 10. Aguilera Zamora B. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 11. Andre Luiz 9. Clayton 18. Spikic D.
Substitutes
8. Baeza M. 10. Daniel Junior 88. Deivison 33. Goncalves C. 19. Joao L. 15. Labidi C. 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 18. Sousa A. 7. Witi
7. Diogo Bezerra 54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 5. Ntoi A. 4. Panzo J. 19. Papakanellos A. 29. Pastor A. (G) 80. Pohlmann O. 77. Richards O.
Coaches
Margarido T.
Sylaidopoulos S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Gabriel Veron ⚽, Ze Vitor (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Aguilera Zamora B. ↓, Pohlmann O. ↑,
46', Petrasso F. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽, Nunez A. (A),
52', Leo Santos 🟨,
61', Silva J. ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
66', Spikic D. ↓, Diogo Bezerra ↑,
66', Andre Luiz ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Leo Santos ⚽, Jose Gomes (A),
77', Paulinho Boia ↓, Witi ↑,
77', Gabriel Veron ↓, Daniel Junior ↑,
77', Tome J. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
85', Ze Vitor 🟨,
88', Ramirez J. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
88', Liziero ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Witi ⚽, Matheus Dias (A),
90+2', Jose Gomes 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
Recent performances by Nacional have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rio Ave is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I.
(Injury)
Soares F.
(Injury)
Ulisses
(Injury)
There will not play in Rio Ave: Rafael Lobato
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
Finland
Portugal
Ukraine
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Kaique Pereira (G) 
Nunez A. 
Jose Gomes 
Ramirez J. (C) 
Chamorro K. (G) 
Petrasso F. 
Brabec J. 
Abbey N. 
Nikitscher T. 
Vrousai M. (C) 
Spikic D. 
Baeza M. 
Joao L. 
Labidi C. 
Witi 
Lomboto J. 
Pohlmann O. 
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