Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11, Sport TV


	Nacional		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.2	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.31	3.6	3.09
	2.32	3.59	3.09
	2.15	3.4	2.75
	2.21	3.54	2.91	Watch
	2.24	3.45	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
41.1%

Draw
26.7%

Leiria
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.9%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Nacional - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 2. Aurelio J. (C) 4. Paulo Vitor 40. Ulisses 55. Sousa A. 10. Esteves L. 8. Danilovic V. 77. Gustavo 28. Carlos Daniel 11. Witi 9. Ramirez J.	1. Kieszek P. (G) 4. Bura 6. Baixinho M. 72. Oliveira V. 24. Zie Ouattara 21. Silva L. (C) 16. Cuca 14. Empis P. 17. Lucho Vega 35. Rochez B. 7. Antunes L.
Substitutes
99. Dudu 5. Jose Gomes 20. Jota Garces 7. Macedo R. 21. Marakis S. 3. Pola J. 27. Raimar 18. Sousa A. 12. Vinicius Machado (G)	25. Amado D. 55. Amoah J. 8. Arsenio 29. Ferreira F. (G) 15. Kaka 3. Lystsov V. 20. Resende J. 11. Silva J. 22. Valdir
Coaches
Margarido T.	Costa V.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 7).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2
04.11.23	Nacional - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Nacional - Mirandela	5:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.10.23	Nacional - Oliveirense	5:0 ✺
02.10.23	Penafiel - Nacional	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTWWW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
05.11.23	Leiria - Marítimo	4:3 ✺
29.10.23	Oliveirense - Leiria	1:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
08.10.23	Mafra - Leiria	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Leiria - Tondela	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leiria - Nacional	3:4 penalties

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