Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)


	Nacional Potosí		Sportivo Trinidense

	1	X	2
	1.6	5	4.33	Watch
	1.53	4.4	5.25
	1.57	4.33	5	Watch
	1.59	4.19	4.87
	1.57	3.64	4.64
	1.5	4.33	5	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.96	Watch
	1.53	4.5	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.29)	4.34 ↓ (4.85)	4.87 ↓ (9.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Potosí
59.5%

Draw
21.4%

Sportivo Trinidense
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

19%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Potosí's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Nacional Potosí - Sportivo Trinidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional Potosí: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mustafa S. (G) 23. Baldomar O. 2. Ortiz M. 6. Restrepo E. 5. Mancilla D. 17. Guerra S. 22. Hoyos J. 10. Galindo S. 9. Cristaldo G. 19. Callejo F. 20. Prost M.	1. Quinonez W. (G) 21. Canete A. 5. Vera J. 23. Benitez C. 3. Villalba D. 20. Alonso W. 35. Pereira A. 6. Jorge J. 8. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 27. Machuca M. 17. Roman J.
Substitutes
25. Adorno C. (G) 29. Alvarez W. 15. Andia J. 14. Anez O. 18. Azogue P. 13. Cabrera A. 3. Guerra J. 32. Leanos H. 21. Ortiz M. 8. Pavia L. 7. Romay K. 16. Torrico A.	7. Arce P. 11. Bonetto J. 24. De la Cruz L. 4. Flores G. 9. Gimenez O. 32. Martinez C. 14. Mendoza S. 29. Rayer T. 28. Riveros M. 25. Rodas M. (G) 2. Ruiz Diaz A. 38. Sinisterra J.
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Arrua J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Pereira A. ⚽,
31', Baldomar O. 🟨,
35', Mancilla D. ↓, Leanos H. ↑,
44', Canete A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Alvarez W. ↑,
46', Canete A. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
57', Machuca M. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Galindo S. ⚽, Guerra S. (A),
69', Pereira A. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
70', Vera J. ↓, Ruiz Diaz A. ↑,
70', Roman J. ↓, Arce P. ↑,
81', Galindo S. 🟨,
90+1', Arce P. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Alvarez W. ⚽,
90+6', Galindo S. ↓, Andia J. ↑,
90+6', Guerra S. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
90+7', Hoyos J. 🟨,

Preview

Nacional Potosí is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sportivo Trinidense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Trinidense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sportivo Trinidense have a series of home games.

In this match Nacional Potosí is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional Potosí won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.05.24	The Strongest - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.24	Nacional Potosí - Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
23.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.04.24	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.05.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.05.24	Tacuary - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
26.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Sol de América	4:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Potosí	2:0

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