The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagoya Grampus 34%
Draw 27.3%
Kawasaki Frontale 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
28.2%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
28.4%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
27.3%
18.2%
Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 25.1% โ 83.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Nagoya (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagoya (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Pisano A. (G) 70. Hara T. 20. Mikuni K. 13. Fujii H. 44. Mori S. 15. Inagaki S. 14. Morishima T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. 77. Junker K. 22. Kimura Y.
98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 31. van Wermeskerken S. 5. Sasaki A. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 19. Kawahara S. 16. Ozeki Y. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 9. Erison
Substitutes
9. Asano Y. 18. Nagai K. 2. Nogami Y. 3. Sato Y. 8. Shiihashi K. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 55. Tokumoto S. 17. Uchida T. 11. Yamagishi Y.
21. Ando S. (G) 41. Ienaga A. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 27. Kamihashi R. 38. Kanda S. 36. Mochiyama K. 29. Myogan T. 30. Noda H. 39. Tsuchiya K.
Coaches
Hasegawa K.
Hasebe S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
12', Maruyama Y. ↓, Kamihashi R. ↑,
17', 0 - 2, Erison ⚽, Yamamoto Y. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Mori S. ⚽, Inagaki S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Hara T. ⚽, Mori S. (A),
45+4', Erison 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fujii H. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
51', Junker K. 🟥,
65', Nakayama K. ↓, Tokumoto S. ↑,
66', Morishima T. ↓, Shiihashi K. ↑,
77', Ozeki Y. ↓, Kanda S. ↑,
78', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
80', 2 - 3, Erison ⚽, Kamihashi R. (A),
81', 3 - 3, Izumi R. ⚽, Nagai K. (A),
86', Izumi R. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
87', Mikuni K. 🟨,
88', Nogami Y. 🟨,
89', Kawahara S. 🟨,
90+3', Tachibanada K. ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 4, Ito T. ⚽,
90+6', Ito T. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Marcinho
(Yellow Cards)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Kawasaki Frontale - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.14%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Australia
China
Japan
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Pisano A. (G) 
Junker K. 
Erison 
Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 
