Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday


	Le Havre		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.14	2.95	3.7	Watch
	2.12	3	3.5
	2.27	2.97	3.9
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.16	3.24	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	3.59 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
43.5%

Draw
30.5%

Nancy
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.3%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Havre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Le Havre - Nancy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 8 (11.22%), has project points - 52, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (59.93%), has project points - 33, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 23, small importance 18, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 0.

Le Havre is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nancy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
21.02.22	Toulouse - Le Havre	4:0 ✺
14.02.22	Le Havre - Bastia	2:4 ✺
05.02.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
22.01.22	Le Havre - Rodez	0:0 ✺
17.01.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTTT
- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
19.02.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Auxerre - Nancy	1:1 ✺
05.02.22	Nancy - Caen	1:1 ✺
01.02.22	Valenciennes - Nancy	6:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Nancy - Amiens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.09.21	Nancy - Le Havre	1:1
02.02.21	Le Havre - Nancy	1:1
26.09.20	Nancy - Le Havre	0:1
04.11.19	Le Havre - Nancy	1:1
15.02.19	Le Havre - Nancy	0:2
14.09.18	Nancy - Le Havre	0:1
24.04.18	Le Havre - Nancy	3:0

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