Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Nancy		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.35	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.27
	3.48	3.18	2.32
	3.25	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.22	3.3	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.48)	2.25 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
28.7%

Draw
29.6%

Paris FC
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

21.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paris FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nancy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nancy - Paris FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Nancy has the most likely position - 20 (90.35%), has project points - 30, has currently - 20, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Paris FC has the most likely position - 2 (53.46%), has project points - 72, has currently - 55, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (79%), has a chance of win league (22%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 38, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 0.

Nancy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paris FC is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paris FC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nancy won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 2
12.03.22	Amiens - Nancy	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Nancy - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
26.02.22	Le Havre - Nancy	1:0 ✺
19.02.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Auxerre - Nancy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWT
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
12.03.22	Paris FC - Niort	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Paris FC - Sochaux	3:1 ✺
19.02.22	Guingamp - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Paris FC - Quevilly	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.10.21	Paris FC - Nancy	1:1
30.01.21	Nancy - Paris FC	1:1
19.09.20	Paris FC - Nancy	0:2
29.11.19	Nancy - Paris FC	2:0
11.01.19	Nancy - Paris FC	1:2
03.08.18	Paris FC - Nancy	2:0
04.05.18	Paris FC - Nancy	2:1

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