Match Info

Date: 10 February 2022, Thursday


	Nantes		Bastia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.74	3.3	5	Watch
	1.79	3.25	4.3
	1.83	3.48	5.06
	1.83	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.82	3.56	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.5)	3.4 ↓ (4.44)	4.63 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
52.2%

Draw
27.6%

Bastia
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

22.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

11.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nantes's form might have worsened.

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bastia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.6%	20.3%	14.1%

Nantes - Bastia Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 42 - 65.6%). Bastia will win (votes: 9 - 14.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 54% – 77.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Nantes is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
06.02.22	Strasbourg - Nantes	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.01.22	Nantes - Brest	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.01.22	Nantes - Lorient	4:2 ✺
14.01.22	Nice - Nantes	2:1 ✺
09.01.22	Nantes - Monaco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLT
- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
05.02.22	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.22	Reims - Bastia	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.01.22	Bastia - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
15.01.22	Nancy - Bastia	2:1 ✺
08.01.22	Bastia - Quevilly	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.03.17	Bastia - Nantes	2:2
01.10.16	Nantes - Bastia	1:0
09.03.16	Bastia - Nantes	0:0
28.11.15	Nantes - Bastia	0:0
14.02.15	Nantes - Bastia	0:2
24.09.14	Bastia - Nantes	0:0
17.05.14	Bastia - Nantes	0:0

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