Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Nantes		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3	Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.95	Watch
	2.52	3.3	3.01
	2.49	3.23	2.93	Watch
	2.38	3.1	2.9
	2.44	3.38	3.08	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.26)	3.27 (3.27)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantes
39%

Draw
29.1%

Le Havre
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	22.7%	50%

Nantes - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Nantes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopes A. (C) 6. Awaziem C. 2. Ali Youssef 3. Cozza N. 18. Centonze F. 8. Lepenant J. 21. Kaba M. 66. Leroux L. 27. Machado D. 19. El Arabi Y. 37. Ganago I.	99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 32. Pembele T. 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 26. Ebonog S. 19. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Ndiaye R. 13. Doucoure F. 45. Soumare I. (C) 17. Boufal S.
Substitutes
20. Cabella R. 30. Carlgren P. (G) 13. Coquelin F. 24. Guilbert F. 11. Guirassy B. 31. Mostafa Mohamed 28. Sissoko I. 17. Tabibou D. 78. Tati T.	8. Kechta Y. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 20. Obougou N. 33. Quetant K. 25. Samatta A. 27. Vinette E. K.
Coaches
Kantari A.	Digard D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Zouaoui Y. (Own goal),
14', Centonze F. 🟨,
32', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Ganago I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Doucoure F. ↓, Quetant K. ↑,
46', Pembele T. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
46', Machado D. ↓, Tabibou D. ↑,
53', Ganago I. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
62', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Vinette E. K. ↑,
63', Boufal S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
63', Ali Youssef 🟨,
65', Cozza N. 🟨,
78', Tabibou D. 🟨,
81', Leroux L. ↓, Coquelin F. ↑,
82', Kechta Y. 🟨,
90+1', Vinette E. K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.

Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Le Havre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Nantes: Abline M. (Yellow Cards) Amian K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Le Havre: Sangante A. (Red Card) Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems) Zohouri G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Vinette E. K. (Inactive)

We predict that Le Havre will win today's game, with odds of 2.96.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Le Havre: 0.18%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
13.02.26	Monaco - Nantes	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Nantes - Lyon	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lorient - Nantes	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nantes - Nice	1:4 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Le Havre - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Le Havre - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Rennes - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1
30.03.25	Le Havre - Nantes	3:2
24.11.24	Nantes - Le Havre	0:2
14.04.24	Le Havre - Nantes	0:1
26.11.23	Nantes - Le Havre	0:0
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Nantes - Le Havre	3:1
French Ligue 2
23.02.13	Nantes - Le Havre	2:0

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