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Napoli vs Frosinone Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 14, 2024)

Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 32

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Orange Sport, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV4
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Napoli		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8	Watch
	1.34	5.25	8.25
	1.35	5.4	7.9	Watch
	1.36	5.61	8.8
	1.34	5.61	8.81
	1.33	5.5	8.5
	1.39	5.66	8.55	Watch
	1.35	5.5	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	5.5 ↓ (5.5)	8.36 ↑ (8.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli
71.1%

Draw
17.4%

Frosinone
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

17.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

11.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frosinone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	11.8%	3.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Napoli will win (votes: 43 - 84.3%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 3.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Napoli: 74.3% – 94.3%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Meret A. (G) 22. Di Lorenzo G. (C) 13. Rrahmani A. 55. Ostigard L. 6. Rui M. 99. Anguissa F. 68. Lobotka S. 20. Zielinski P. 21. Politano M. 9. Osimhen V. 77. Kvaratskhelia K.	80. Turati S. (G) 20. Lirola P. 6. Romagnoli S. 5. Okoli C. 19. Zortea N. 45. Barrenechea E. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 32. Valeri E. 18. Soule M. 4. Brescianini M. 70. Cheddira W.
Substitutes
24. Cajuste J. 32. Dendoncker L. 95. Gollini P. (G) 16. Idasiak H. (G) 29. Lindstrom J. 30. Mazzocchi P. 3. Natan 81. Raspadori G. 18. Simeone G. 8. Traore H. J.	7. Baez J. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 14. Gelli F. 29. Ghedjemis F. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 3. Marchizza R. 47. Mateus Lusuardi 12. Reinier 8. Seck D.
Coaches
Calzona F.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Politano M. ⚽, Di Lorenzo G. (A),
29', Rrahmani A. 🟨,
30', Soule M. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Cheddira W. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Osimhen V. ⚽, Kvaratskhelia K. (A),
66', Rui M. 🟨,
73', 2 - 2, Cheddira W. ⚽, Zortea N. (A),
77', Politano M. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
78', Zielinski P. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
78', Brescianini M. ↓, Reinier ↑,
78', Soule M. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
85', Anguissa F. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
90+4', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
90+4', Zortea N. ↓, Mateus Lusuardi ↑,
90+6', Okoli C. 🟨,
90+7', Rui M. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 4.

Recent matches Napoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frosinone is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Napoli is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Napoli won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSC Napoli
Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Monza - Napoli	2:4 ✺
30.03.24	Napoli - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
17.03.24	Inter Milan - Napoli	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.03.24	Barcelona - Napoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
08.03.24	Napoli - Torino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLT
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Frosinone - Bologna	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Frosinone - Lazio	2:3 ✺
09.03.24	Sassuolo - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Frosinone - Lecce	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
19.12.23	Napoli - Frosinone	0:4
Italian Serie A
19.08.23	Frosinone - Napoli	1:3
28.04.19	Frosinone - Napoli	0:2
08.12.18	Napoli - Frosinone	4:0
14.05.16	Napoli - Frosinone	4:0
10.01.16	Frosinone - Napoli	1:5

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