The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia 36.9%
Draw 31%
Empoli 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.8%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
27.7%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
36.8%
26.3%
Spezia - Empoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 15.1% – 58.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Empoli (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Radunovic B. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 55. Hristov P. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 70. Adamo E. 8. Nagy A. 60. Romano A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 5. Valoti M. 9. Artistico G.
21. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Candela A. 34. Guarino G. 20. Lovato M. (C) 27. Moruzzi B. 11. Shpendi S. 8. Magnino L. 14. Yepes G. 7. Elia S. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 19. Nasti M.
Substitutes
6. Bellemo A. 24. Bertoncini A. 11. Beruatto P. 34. Comotto C. 10. Lapadula G. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 17. Sernicola L. 19. Shagaxle H. 32. Vignali L. 99. Vlahovic V.
15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 24. Ebuehi T. 17. Fila D. 32. Haas N. 25. Ignacchiti L. 10. Ilie R. 5. Obaretin N. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E.
Coaches
Donadoni R.
Caserta F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
41', Nasti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Elia S. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
51', Lovato M. 🟨,
55', Nasti M. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
56', Yepes G. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
63', Nagy A. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
65', Candela A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Aurelio G. (A),
75', Haas N. 🟨,
78', Valoti M. ↓, Sernicola L. ↑,
78', Hristov P. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
79', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
80', Degli Innocenti D. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
80', Shpendi S. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
89', Bandinelli F. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Saporiti E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
In recent matches, Spezia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Empoli is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Spezia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F.
(Muscle Injury)
Di Serio G.
(Inactive)
Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Skjellerup L.
(Inactive)
Vlahovic V.
(Inactive)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F.
(Inactive)
Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Spezia: Mateju A.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
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Radunovic B. (G) 
Ruggero M. 
Hristov P. (C) 
Nagy A. 
Romano A. 
Shpendi S. 
Yepes G. 
Lapadula G. 
Shagaxle H. 
Ceesay J. 
Ebuehi T. 
Fila D. 
Ilie R. 
Popov B. 
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