Match Info

MLS

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Geodis Park (Nashville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Israel	Sport 1
South-korea	Coupang Play, SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Nashville SC		Los Angeles

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.22	3.55	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.64	3.26
	2.24	3.38	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.28	3.5	3.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.25)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)	3.17 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nashville SC
42.8%

Draw
27.2%

Los Angeles
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Nashville SC - Los Angeles Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Los Angeles will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Schwake B. (G) 27. Baker-Whiting R. 3. Woledzi M. 4. Palacios J. 2. Lovitz D. 16. Corcoran M. 6. Acosta B. 37. Qasem A. 7. Espinoza C. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 41. Madrigal W.	12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 4. Segura E. (C) 66. Choiniere M. 46. Eustaquio S. 11. Tillman T. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min 99. Bouanga D.
Substitutes
22. Bauer J. 12. Brunet C. 23. Knight J. 5. Maher J. 14. Mohammed S. 19. Muyl A. 17. Pacius W. 21. Williams T. 1. Willis J. (G)	19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 8. Delgado M. 17. Ebobisse J. 33. Long A. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 29. Smolyakov A. 22. Terry J.
Coaches
Callaghan B.	Dos Santos M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Mukhtar H. ⚽, Madrigal W. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Mukhtar H. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽, Bouanga D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Porteous R. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Mukhtar H. ⚽,
67', Qasem A. 🟨,
68', 3 - 2, Bouanga D. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
69', Choiniere M. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
69', Martinez D. ↓, Boyd T. ↑,
71', Qasem A. ↓, Muyl A. ↑,
76', Segura E. 🟨,
81', Madrigal W. ↓, Pacius W. ↑,
81', Tillman T. ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,
82', Segura E. ↓, Smolyakov A. ↑,
88', Baker-Whiting R. 🟨,
88', Eustaquio S. ↓, Terry J. ↑,
90+1', Baker-Whiting R. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
90+1', Espinoza C. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
90+7', Acosta B. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Nashville has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Angeles is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Los Angeles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nashville could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Nashville: Surridge S. (Back Injury) Tagseth E. (Injury) Yazbek P. (Injury)

There will not play in Los Angeles: Dellavalle L. (Knee Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Palencia S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Nashville: Najar A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Los Angeles: Boudri A. (Leg Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of MLS for now

Nashville SC: 11.42% Los Angeles FC: 6.88%

Last Results with these Odds

Nashville SC - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nashville SC
MLS
13.05.26	New England Revolution - Nashville SC	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Nashville SC - DC United	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.05.26	Tigres UANL - Nashville SC	1:0 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	Philadelphia Union - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
28.04.26	Nashville SC - Tigres UANL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTL
- Los Angeles FC
MLS
13.05.26	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo	1:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
06.05.26	Toluca - Los Angeles	4:0 ✺
MLS
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
29.04.26	Los Angeles - Toluca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.03.24	Los Angeles - Nashville SC	5:0
22.04.23	Nashville SC - Los Angeles	1:1
09.10.22	Los Angeles - Nashville SC	0:1
17.07.22	Nashville SC - Los Angeles	1:2

Upcoming Matches