Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	OneSoccer
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 4
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 3
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, FOX Sports 1, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Los Angeles		Toluca

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.7
	2.15	3.35	3	Watch
	2.26	3.71	3.19
	2.21	3.6	3.11	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.17	3.48	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
39.8%

Draw
28.2%

Toluca
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

27%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

26.3%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Los Angeles - Toluca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Toluca will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 33. Long A. (C) 14. Palencia S. 66. Choiniere M. 8. Delgado M. 18. Shaffelburg J. 30. Martinez D. 7. Son Heung-Min 11. Tillman T.	22. Garcia L. (G) 19. Simon S. 5. Romero F. 4. Bruno Mendez 25. del Villar E. 20. Gallardo J. 11. Helinho 8. Castro N. 14. Ruiz M. (C) 10. Angulo J. 26. Paulinho
Substitutes
19. Boyd T. 31. Carter C. (G) 17. Ebobisse J. 46. Eustaquio S. 70. Evans M. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 45. Nielsen K. 27. Ordaz N. 21. Raposo R. 29. Smolyakov A. 22. Terry J.	35. Alvarez A. 24. Arce F. 33. Arteaga V. 2. Barbosa D. 3. Briseno A. 7. Cordova S. 29. Diaz J. 1. Gonzalez H. (G) 17. Isais M. 15. Perez P. 27. Rossi F. 9. Vega A.
Coaches
Dos Santos M.	Mohamed A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Tillman T. ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
64', Helinho ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
67', Long A. ↓, Nielsen K. ↑,
69', Porteous R. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Paulinho (A),
74', Angulo J. 🟨,
79', Angulo J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
80', Choiniere M. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
80', Martinez D. ↓, Ebobisse J. ↑,
88', Paulinho ↓, Arce F. ↑,
88', Ruiz M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
90', Barbosa D. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Nkosi Tafari ⚽, Son Heung-Min (A),
90+6', Shaffelburg J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Los Angeles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Los Angeles might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
MLS
25.04.26	Minnesota United - Los Angeles	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Los Angeles - San Jose Earthquakes	1:4 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.26	Cruz Azul - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLTL
- Deportivo Toluca
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Toluca - Club León	4:1 ✺
22.04.26	Mazatlan - Toluca	4:3 ✺
18.04.26	Club América - Toluca	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.04.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Toluca	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
12.04.26	Toluca - Atlético San Luis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWT

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