Match Info

AZERBAIJAN: AZERBAIJAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 21 December 2023, Thursday


	Neftchi Baku		Qaradağ Lökbatan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.19	5.5	12.5
	1.17	5.5	17	Watch
	1.18	5.29	13.3
	1.11	5.5	15
	1.2	5.65	14
	1.18	5.4	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.52)	5.47 ↑ (4.01)	14.3 ↑ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
77.2%

Draw
16.5%

Qaradağ Lökbatan
6.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

23.1%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftchi Baku's performance.

Qaradağ Lökbatan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qaradağ Lökbatan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftchi Baku that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qaradağ Lökbatan than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qaradağ Lökbatan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neftchi Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Neftchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Neftchi have a series of home games.

In this match Neftchi is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.12.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz	3:2 ✺
03.12.23	Neftchi Baku - Zira	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Neftchi Baku - Araz Naxçıvan	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.11.23	Neftchi Baku - Zenit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWTW
- Qaradağ Lökbatan
Azerbaijan First Division
14.12.23	İrəvan - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:2 ✺
07.12.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Mingachevir	3:0 ✺
23.11.23	İmişli - Qaradağ Lökbatan	0:0 ✺
10.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - Araz Saatlı	3:0 ✺
02.11.23	Qaradağ Lökbatan - MOIK Baku	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWT

Neftchi Baku - Qaradağ Lökbatan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide