Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Neftchi Baku		Zenit

	1	X	2
	7.1	5	1.33
	6.8	5.25	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↓ (7.3)	5.13 ↓ (5.3)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
13.4%

Draw
18.1%

Zenit
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

17.8%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

17.6%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Neftchi Baku - Zenit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Cafarov R. (G) 15. Abbasov R. 7. Aliyev A. 17. Hadzhiyev R. (C) 99. Koffi E. 16. Melano L. 22. Mirzov R. 25. Olanare A. 9. Shinyashiki A. 6. Valdez D. 44. Yuri Matias	16. Adamov D. (G) 2. Chistyakov D. 11. Claudinho 37. Du Queiroz 31. Gustavo Mantuan 10. Isidor W. 18. Kovalenko A. 4. Krugovoy D. 55. Rodrigo 3. Santos D. (C) 19. Sutormin A.
Substitutes
94. Babayev E. (G) 77. Bogomolskiy E. 26. Buludov O. 30. Mammadov A. (G) 2. Qarayev Q. 5. Saief K. 19. Salahly A. 4. Tamas M. 28. Valizada T. 21. Zulfugarli I.	. Barrios W. . Chernyi A. . Kasimov A. . Kolmakov R. . Kosogorov A. . Saus V. . Tereschuk N. . Vasyutin A. (G)

Preview

Recent matches Neftchi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zenit is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Zenit have a series of home games.

In this match Zenit is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neftchi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.11.23	Neftchi Baku - Sumgayit	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Neftchi Baku - Sabah	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Səbail - Neftchi Baku	2:4 ✺
08.10.23	Neftchi Baku - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
11.11.23	Zenit - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
04.11.23	Baltika Kaliningrad - Zenit	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
31.10.23	Zenit - Krylya Sovetov	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
28.10.23	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Zenit - Krylya Sovetov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.07.23	Zenit - Neftchi Baku	3:1

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