The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Phoenix Rising 43.6%
Draw 25.6%
Lexington 30.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.2%
24.7%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
25%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lexington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Phoenix Rising - Lexington Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Odunze C. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. 51. Essengue A. 20. Biasi L. 13. Moursou J. 17. JP Scearce (C) 7. Sacko I. 8. Gomez D. 48. Schmitt T. 11. Studenhofft G.
17. Semmle O. (C) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. 34. Fry M. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.
Substitutes
27. Ambursley C. 23. Badji D. 47. Cross N. 87. Flores D. 33. Gaydon J. 24. Pelayo A. 1. Rakovsky P. (G) 19. Rivera D. 70. Torres J.
21. Muir M. 15. Okello N. 27. Rodrigues B. P. 98. Seagrist P. 31. Thompson B. (G) 13. Tschantret M. 20. Yosef M.
Coaches
Kah P.
Hemmi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Sacko I. ⚽, Smith C. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Studenhofft G. ⚽, Sacko I. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Zengue X. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nick Firmino ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Goodrum P. (Own goal),
60', Fry M. ↓, Okello N. ↑,
62', Studenhofft G. ↓, Badji D. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Rodrigues B. P. ⚽, Burks K. (A),
70', Moursou J. 🟨,
74', Biasi L. 🟨,
75', Essengue A. 🟨,
76', Schmitt T. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Molloy A. ⚽,
78', Epps M. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
79', Biasi L. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
80', Smith C. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
83', Brown J. ↓, Muir M. ↑,
84', Mar Boye P. 🟨,
88', Rodrigues B. P. 🟨,
89', Okello N. 🟨,
Preview
Lexington is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs 1/8~finals).
In recent outings, Phoenix Rising has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lexington is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Phoenix Rising may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Phoenix Rising has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:4 (averaging 0:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Phoenix Rising against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Lexington - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.13%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Odunze C. (G) 
Mar Boye P. 
Essengue A. 
Sacko I. 
Gomez D. 
Studenhofft G. 
Semmle O. (C) 
Brown J. 
Greene J. 
Molloy A. 
Nick Firmino 
Ambursley C. 
Rivera D. 
Torres J. 
Okello N. 
Rodrigues B. P. 
Kah P. 
Hemmi M. 
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