Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Phoenix Rising		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.5
	1.9	3.35	3.7
	1.95	3.88	3.64
				Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.89	3.34	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.85	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.62 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Phoenix Rising
48.7%

Draw
25.9%

Lexington
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Phoenix Rising - Lexington Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 51. Essengue A. 6. Sainte C. F. (C) 23. Flood R. 80. Emmers X. 17. Scearce J. 10. Avayevu H. 12. Dennis C. 29. Formella D. 7. Margaritha J.	31. Thompson B. (G) 12. Zengue X. 6. Hafferty J. 5. Burks K. 24. Sargeant K. 3. Djeffal S. 8. Nick Firmino 23. Midence A. 11. Epps M. (C) 71. Adedokun M. 33. Ajago F.
Substitutes
35. Balanzar A. 45. Capetillo A. 14. Cuello E. 13. Henry T. (G) 22. Johnson D. 34. Montgomery B. 44. Ping J. 9. Sacko I. 83. Villegas J. (G)	14. Barbir D. 16. Caceres E. 27. Gilbert G. 1. Ketterer L. (G) 83. Mbongue H. 80. Williams D. 15. Wu D.
Coaches
Kah P.	Boss T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Adedokun M. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zengue X. ↓, Gilbert G. ↑,
55', Dennis C. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
58', Epps M. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
74', Flood R. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
74', Formella D. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
74', Midence A. ↓, Barbir D. ↑,
74', Emmers X. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
81', Ajago F. ↓, Mbongue H. ↑,
81', Sargeant K. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
87', Avayevu H. ↓, Montgomery B. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Phoenix Rising is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lexington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Phoenix Rising might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Phoenix Rising
USL Cup
28.06.25	Texoma - Phoenix Rising	4:5 ✺
USL Championship
21.06.25	Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Tulsa - Phoenix Rising	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Phoenix Rising - New Mexico United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWW
- Lexington SC
USL Cup
28.06.25	Richmond Kickers - Lexington	0:3 ✺
USL Championship
20.06.25	Lexington - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Lexington - New Mexico United	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Monterey Bay - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Charlotte Independence - Lexington	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches