Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park (Albuquerque, NM)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	New Mexico United		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.9	4
	1.76	4.02	3.67
	1.74	3.98	3.83	Watch
	1.7	3.62	4.27
	1.53	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.46)	3.9 ↓ (4.2)	4.15 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico United
54.7%

Draw
23.4%

Union Omaha
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.7%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

21.1%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Mexico United's form might have worsened.

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union Omaha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Mexico United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union Omaha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

New Mexico United - Union Omaha Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tambakis A. (G) 16. Seymore W. 12. Maples T. 22. Ryden K. (C) 24. Lindsey J. 11. Akale M. 15. Jabang O. 27. Pondeca T. 10. Gaines M. 8. Vargas M. 19. Bailey Z.	24. Nuhu R. (G) 26. Acoff D. 14. Kallman B. 5. Milanese M. 13. Holt A. 20. Ostrem C. 7. Gallardo J. 30. Martinez I. 23. Schneider M. 9. Ouamri M. 21. Gomez J.
Substitutes
23. Amang T. 25. Bruce D. 47. DuBois J. 4. Herbert A. 9. Luiz Fernando 42. Sais J. 13. Shakes K. (G)	95. Amiche K. 18. Bronnik M. 36. Jensen C. (G) 15. Knapp B. 8. Ors S. 4. Owusu S. 16. Wootton L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ouamri M. 🟨,
15', Schneider M. 🟨,
25', Kallman B. 🟨,
35', Jabang O. ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Maples T. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ouamri M. ↓, Ors S. ↑,
46', Seymore W. 🟨,
65', Pondeca T. ↓, Herbert A. ↑,
65', Gaines M. ↓, Bruce D. ↑,
71', Martinez I. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
75', Gomez J. 🟨,
82', Gallardo J. ↓, Amiche K. ↑,
86', Akale M. 🟨,
90+1', Schneider M. ↓, Knapp B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Vargas M. ⚽,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

New Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently New Mexico have a series of home games.

Recently Union Omaha have a series of guest games.

In this match New Mexico is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's New Mexico to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico United
USL Championship
23.04.25	New Mexico United - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
16.04.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	2:3 penalties ✺
USL Championship
12.04.25	New Mexico United - North Carolina	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Miami - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	New Mexico United - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Union Omaha
US Open Cup
15.04.25	Union Omaha - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
USL League One
09.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Des Moines Menace - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
29.03.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
US Open Cup
21.03.25	Flatirons - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW

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