Match Info

MLS

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	New York Red Bulls		Real Salt Lake

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.6	3.1
	2.18	3.7	3.05	Watch
	2.23	3.75	3.17
	2.09	3.70	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	2.15	3.67	3.29	Watch
	2.03	3.7	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.92)	3.65 ↓ (3.73)	3.18 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls
44.3%

Draw
25.9%

Real Salt Lake
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.5%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls's form might have worsened.

Real Salt Lake has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Salt Lake, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	22.2%	5.6%

New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Salt Lake (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York Red Bulls will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Salt Lake (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marcucci A. (G) 6. Duncan K. 15. Nealis S. 42. Hack A. 44. Edwards R. 48. Donkor R. 75. Edelman D. 19. Carmona W. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 37. Sofo M. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M.	1. Rafael Cabral (C) 92. Caliskan N. 15. Glad J. 4. Vera B. 29. Junqua S. 10. Goncalves D. 14. Eneli E. 6. Ojeda B. 8. Luna D. 9. Agada W. 72. Gozo Z.
Substitutes
7. Bogacz W. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 16. Hall J. 14. Morales M. 12. Nealis D. 81. Ngoma S. 26. Parker T. 8. Stroud P. 5. Valencia O.	19. Hidalgo B. 98. Katranis A. 24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 11. Marczuk D. 23. Piol A. 26. Quinton P. 7. Ruiz P. 77. Russell J. 12. Rwan Cruz
Coaches
Schwarz S.	Mastroeni P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gozo Z. ⚽, Agada W. (A), Luna D. (A2)
14', Hack A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
46', Hack A. ↓, Parker T. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A), Edwards R. (A2)
59', Donkor R. 🟨,
64', Ojeda B. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
64', Agada W. ↓, Rwan Cruz ↑,
64', Donkor R. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
71', Sofo M. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
77', Nealis S. 🟨,
77', Gozo Z. 🟨,
83', Luna D. 🟨,
83', Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
86', Luna D. 🟨,
90+1', Duncan K. 🟥,
90+1', Forsberg E. ↓, Nealis D. ↑,
90+9', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Pen),
90+11', Eneli E. ↓, Russell J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Salt Lake may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Salt Lake has had a series of home games.

NY Red Bulls could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Salt Lake: Bell M. (Hamstring Injury) Bonilla J. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Knee Injury) Olatunji V. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Salt Lake: Caliskan N. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls
CONCACAF League Cup
07.08.25	New York Red Bulls - Juárez	2:1 penalties ✺
03.08.25	Monterrey - New York Red Bulls	2:1 penalties ✺
31.07.25	Chivas Guadalajara - New York Red Bulls	0:1 ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLL
- Real Salt Lake
CONCACAF League Cup
06.08.25	Real Salt Lake - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Real Salt Lake - Atlético San Luis	2:3 penalties ✺
30.07.25	Club América - Real Salt Lake	2:3 penalties ✺
MLS
26.07.25	Real Salt Lake - San Jose Earthquakes	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Real Salt Lake - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
15.07.23	Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls	3:1
07.03.20	Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls	1:1
01.06.19	New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake	4:0
Visit Tucson Sun Cup
14.02.19	New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake	Canceled
MLS
17.03.18	Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls	1:0
25.03.17	New York Red Bulls - Real Salt Lake	0:0
22.06.16	Real Salt Lake - New York Red Bulls	2:1

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