The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 55.9%
Draw 21.2%
Toronto FC 22.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
23.9%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
23.3%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Red Bulls's performance.
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - NY Red Bulls (1.70) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. (C) 2. Che J. 14. Bazan J. 59. Padelford D. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 37. Sofo M. 17. Harper C. 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J.
1. Gavran L. (G) 19. Franklin K. 12. Monlouis Z. 15. Gomis N. 3. Matheus Pereira 7. Corbeanu T. 21. Osorio J. (C) 6. Dorsch N. 10. Mihailovic D. 9. Sargent J. 90. Morgan L.
Substitutes
13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 56. Dos Santos M. 10. Forsberg E. 60. Kone S. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 26. Parker T. 88. Pedro Castro 11. Ruvalcaba J.
17. Aristizabal E. 96. Chukwu R. 14. Coello A. 44. Edwards R. 11. Etienne D. 38. Gilman J. 27. Piedrahita A. 20. Salloi D. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)
Coaches
Bradley M.
Fraser R.
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 2.
In recent outings, NY Red Bulls has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Toronto has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with NY Red Bulls holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Red Bulls has recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:14 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for NY Red Bulls against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:5 goals (averaging 1.9:0.5 per game).
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Horvath E. (G) 
Bazan J. 
Donkor R. 
Gavran L. (G) 
Monlouis Z. 
Gomis N. 
Matheus Pereira 
Dorsch N. 
Morgan L. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Forsberg E. 
Kone S. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Coello A. 
Edwards R. 
Etienne D. 
Salloi D. 
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