Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
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World	Disney+


	Manchester United		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.3	6.17	9.88
				Watch
	1.28	6.19	8.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	6.18 ↑ (5.64)	9.23 ↑ (8.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
74.2%

Draw
15.5%

Leicester City
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.8%

16.8%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

16.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Manchester United - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Onana A. (G) 3. Mazraoui N. 5. Maguire H. 15. Yoro L. 20. Dalot D. 25. Ugarte M. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 16. Diallo A. 37. Mainoo K. 9. Hojlund R.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Justin J. 3. Faes W. 5. Okoli C. 33. Thomas L. 6. Ndidi W. (C) 24. Soumare B. 18. Ayew J. 11. El Khannouss B. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
18. Casemiro 43. Collyer T. 4. de Ligt M. 14. Eriksen C. 17. Garnacho A. 48. Graczyk H. (G) 26. Heaven A. 2. Lindelof V. 11. Zirkzee J.	40. Buonanotte F. 4. Coady C. 25. Coulibaly W. 10. Mavididi S. 35. McAteer K. 93. Monga J. 22. Skipp O. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 8. Winks H.
Coaches
Amorim R.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, De Cordova-Reid B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dorgu P. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
58', Ndidi W. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
58', Thomas L. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
64', Mainoo K. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Zirkzee J. ⚽,
73', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
81', Daka P. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
83', Ugarte M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Maguire H. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
90+4', Ugarte M. ↓, Casemiro ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Calgary won 3.

Recent matches Calgary is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seattle is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seattle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Calgary will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Calgary won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 70:50 (average 3.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Calgary won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:24 (average 3.1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
02.02.25	Manchester United - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	FCSB - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
26.01.25	Fulham - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Manchester United - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
19.01.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
01.02.25	Everton - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Leicester City	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Leicester City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
15.01.25	Leicester City - Crystal Palace	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leicester City - Queens Park Rangers	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
10.11.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0
English League Cup
30.10.24	Manchester United - Leicester City	5:2
English Premier League
19.02.23	Manchester United - Leicester City	3:0
01.09.22	Leicester City - Manchester United	0:1
02.04.22	Manchester United - Leicester City	1:1
16.10.21	Leicester City - Manchester United	4:2
11.05.21	Manchester United - Leicester City	1:2

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