The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 48.6%
Draw 28.6%
Colón 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
31.2%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
31.5%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys's performance.
Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newells Old Boys that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
23.3%
10%
Newells Old Boys - Colón Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Colón will win (votes: 3 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Newells Old Boys: 49.8% – 83.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Newell's Old Boys has the most likely position - 11 (4.95%), has project points - 37, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Colón has the most likely position - 26 (5.57%), has project points - 34, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality36, very small importance6, small match rating21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 1.
Newell's Old Boys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Colón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newell's Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Newell's Old Boys will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Newell's Old Boys: Ferreira C.
(Injury)
Macagno R.
(Injury)
Portillo M.
(Illness)
There will not play in Colón: Vega C.
(Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Newell's Old Boys won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Newell's Old Boys won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-5.
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Portugal
Serbia
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