Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Newells Old Boys		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.2	5.25	12
	1.24	6	15	Watch
	1.21	5.34	13.69
	1.21	5.34	13.69
	1.18	5.5	15
	1.21	5.7	13.6	Watch
	1.22	5.6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)	5.53 ↑ (4.5)	13.71 ↑ (9.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
76.5%

Draw
16.7%

Ferrocarril Midland
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

20.7%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

19.7%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys's performance.

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Newells Old Boys - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Meza F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, Fernandez E. ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, Fernandez E. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Newells Old Boys have a series of home games.

In this match Newells Old Boys is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.24	Newells Old Boys - Platense	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Godoy Cruz - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
07.03.24	Newells Old Boys - Tigre	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Newells Old Boys - San Lorenzo	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWTL
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera B
17.03.24	Liniers - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Comunicaciones	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Deportivo Armenio - Ferrocarril Midland	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Argentino de Quilmes	0:3 ✺
20.02.24	Fénix - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWLT

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