Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Bielsa (Rosario)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Newells Old Boys		Platense

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.82	2.45	Watch
	2.6	2.87	2.9
	3.2	2.92	2.45
	3.3	3.05	2.56
	3.35	2.92	2.43	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.45
	3.17	2.9	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.58)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	2.55 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys
30.1%

Draw
32.8%

Platense
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

33.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

34.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Platense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Platense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Newells Old Boys - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Platense will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Newells Old Boys (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Platense (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 20%). Platense (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 14. Mendez A. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 24. Risso G. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 27. Herrera L. 20. Guch F. 33. Nunez W. 99. Ramirez I.	20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 18. Merlini B. 15. Amarfil M. 7. Mainero G. 10. Zapiola F. 33. Gauto J. 99. Lencina G.
Substitutes
10. Acuna V. 25. Cabrera B. 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 19. Gomez J. 9. Hoyos M. 18. Mazzantti W. 7. Orozco F. 6. Ortega M. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 28. Russo J. 36. Scarpeccio F.	24. Barrios M. 47. Bosch B. 17. Bussio F. 5. Gomez I. 23. Heredia L. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 21. Lotti A. 34. Mendia M. 6. Raggio E. 43. Retamar K. 22. Sumavil N. (G)
Coaches
Kudelka F.	Zunino W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Guch F. 🟨,
21', Vazquez I. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Guch F. ⚽,
42', Herrera L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Regiardo L. 🟨,
57', Mendez A. 🟨,
59', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
63', Ramirez I. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
65', Merlini B. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
66', Zapiola F. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
66', Mainero G. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
79', Nunez W. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
80', Herrera R. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
81', Lencina G. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Lotti A. ⚽,
90+1', Guch F. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
90+1', Herrera L. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
90+1', Amarfil M. ↓, Bussio F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1.

Newells Old Boys is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Platense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Newells Old Boys - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Banfield - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTL
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Platense - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Boca Juniors - Platense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Platense - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.05.24	Newells Old Boys - Platense	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.24	Newells Old Boys - Platense	0:0
30.10.23	Platense - Newells Old Boys	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.01.23	Platense - Newells Old Boys	2:2
09.07.22	Platense - Newells Old Boys	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.04.22	Newells Old Boys - Platense	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.08.21	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:0

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