Match Info

Date: 10 January 2021, Sunday


	Newport County		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7	4.6	1.4
	7.6	4.55	1.45	Watch
	7	4.5	1.42
	7.16	4.47	1.45
	7.5	4.4	1.42	Watch
	7.4	4.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (6.2)	4.56 ↑ (4.44)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
12.8%

Draw
20.7%

Brighton & Hove Albion
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

21.3%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

12.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-29.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brighton & Hove Albion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	20.5%	52.3%

Newport County - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 23 - 52.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 37.5% – 67.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brighton & Hove could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Newport have a series of guest games.

In this match Brighton & Hove is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
26.12.20	Crawley Town - Newport County	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Newport County - Oldham Athletic	2:4 ✺
15.12.20	Salford City - Newport County	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Leyton Orient - Newport County	2:1 ✺
08.12.20	Grimsby Town - Newport County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
02.01.21	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:3 ✺
29.12.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
27.12.20	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
20.12.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
16.12.20	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
06.08.13	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newport County	1:3 ET

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