Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Craven Cottage (London)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fulham		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.62	3.3	2.8
	2.65	3.36	2.83
	2.68	3.41	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.62	3.39	2.83	Watch
	2.57	3.25	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.58)	3.31 ↓ (3.49)	2.78 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
36.8%

Draw
28.8%

Brighton & Hove Albion
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	40.5%	23.8%

Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 9 - 22.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 42.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.2% – 57.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 11 - 84.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Fulham (1.87) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Fulham (1.48) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 5. Andersen J. (C) 15. Cuenca J. 33. Robinson A. 17. Iwobi A. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 32. Smith Rowe E. 22. Kevin 7. Jimenez R.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 24. Kadioglu F. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 21. Boscagli O. 17. Baleba C. 30. Gross P. 26. Ayari Y. 25. Gomez D. 22. Mitoma K. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
3. Bassey C. 10. Cairney T. 19. Chukwueze S. 31. Diop I. 24. King J. 18. Kusi Asare J. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 6. Reed H. 30. Sessegnon R.	42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 13. Hinshelwood J. 19. Kostoulas C. 20. Milner J. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Silva M.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Ayari Y. ⚽, Boscagli O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Robinson A. ↓, Sessegnon R. ↑,
59', Kevin ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
66', Berge S. 🟨,
69', Smith Rowe E. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Chukwueze S. ⚽, Andersen J. (A),
81', Baleba C. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
81', Gomez D. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
88', Boscagli O. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
88', Gross P. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
88', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
90+1', Kostoulas C. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Wilson H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 2.

Fulham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brighton & Hove is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fulham: Lukic S. (Injury) Rodrigo Muniz (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: March S. (Knee Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Toe Injury)

There are questionable in Fulham: Smith Rowe E. (Injury) Tete K. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 2.57% Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16:5	11	10
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Brighton & Hove Albion - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 35.29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Leeds United - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Fulham - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Crystal Palace - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Burnley	2:0 ✺
30.12.25	West Ham United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1
08.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	2:1
05.12.24	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1
02.03.24	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0
29.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1
18.02.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	0:1
30.08.22	Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1

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