Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Coote D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Paramount+
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Canada	Sportsnet
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Malaysia	Astro
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV6
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Newport County		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	15	11	1.11	Watch
	21	11	1.1
	29	11	1.1	Watch
	21	9.6	1.1
	20.79	12.76	1.09
	23	10	1.03
	25	10.2	1.1	Watch
	25	12	1.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	22.47 ↓ (27.52)	10.95 ↓ (11.57)	1.09 ↑ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
4.2%

Draw
8.7%

Manchester United
87.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

3.4%

8.1%

88.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Newport County - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Man Utd will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Townsend N. (G) 19. McLoughlin S. 5. Clarke J. 17. Bennett S. 4. Delaney R. (C) 3. Lewis A. 8. Morris B. 20. Charsley H. 24. Wildig A. 7. Evans W. 30. Palmer-Houlden S.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 19. Varane R. 6. Martinez Li. 23. Shaw L. 18. Casemiro 37. Mainoo K. 21. Antony 8. Fernandes B. (C) 17. Garnacho A. 11. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
28. Baker M. 33. Bondswell M. 23. Jameson K. 26. Maxted J. (G) 2. Payne L. 18. Rai K. 11. Waite J. 22. Wood N. D. 10. Zanzala O.	16. Diallo A. 14. Eriksen C. 35. Evans J. 62. Forson O. 22. Heaton T. (G) 53. Kambwala W. 5. Maguire H. 39. McTominay S. 28. Pellistri F.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	ten Hag E.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Newport is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Man Utd is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Man Utd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Man Utd is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
20.01.24	Newport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.01.24	Eastleigh - Newport County	1:3 ✺
English League Two
13.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Newport County	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Newport County - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWTT
- Manchester United
English Premier League
14.01.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
08.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Manchester United - Aston Villa	3:2 ✺
23.12.23	West Ham United - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLWL

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