Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)


	Newport County		Southampton U21

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.5	3.1
	1.9	3.45	3.5
	1.96	3.65	3.15
	2.01	3.7	3.38
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	1.92	3.72	3.3
	1.96	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.57)	3.26 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
46.7%

Draw
25.4%

Southampton U21
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Southampton U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton U21 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Newport County - Southampton U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 40%). S`hampton U21 will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

S`hampton U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Newport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
15.10.22	Crawley Town - Newport County	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Newport County - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
04.10.22	Swindon Town - Newport County	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Leyton Orient - Newport County	1:2 ✺
24.09.22	Newport County - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWT
- Southampton U21
English Premier League 2
08.10.22	Southampton U21 - Aston Villa U21	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
04.10.22	Exeter City - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
16.09.22	Leeds United U21 - Southampton U21	6:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Forest Green Rovers - Southampton U21	3:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
26.08.22	Southampton U21 - Norwich City U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLT

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