Match Info

WALES: CYMRU PREMIER - ROUND 18

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Newtown		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.25
	1.36	5	7	Watch
	1.43	4.77	6.67
	1.43	4.78	6.67
	1.35	4.6	6.5
	1.37	4.8	6.95
	1.4	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.75 ↑ (4.2)	6.63 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
66.6%

Draw
19.4%

Colwyn Bay
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.8%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

21.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Newtown - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wycherley A. (G) 17. Cowans H. 8. Evans R. 24. Hughes G. 18. Jones M. 3. Roberts C. 10. Robles L. 4. Sears R. 27. Smith D. 6. Sutton S. (C) 14. Williams A.	13. Smith J. (G) 24. Akpan U. 22. Creamer T. 9. Cumming J. 2. Downes A. 6. Downey S. 3. Edwards S. 19. Hart S. 10. Hill M. 21. Jones D. 8. McCready T. (C)
Substitutes
15. Boakye H. 23. Hartley Z. 11. Ismail Z. 5. Mills-Evans K. 7. Sharp O. 29. Taylor M. 13. Ussher S. (G)	5. Diau B. 25. Giblin J. 12. Marsh-Hughes L. 27. McKinley W. 17. Rushton N. 20. Turner S. 43. Tyszko S. (G)
Coaches
Hughes C.	Evans S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Colwyn Bay could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Newtown is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Newtown won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Newtown won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.11.23	Newtown - Pontypridd United	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pen-y-Bont - Newtown	1:1 ✺
14.11.23	Aberystwyth Town - Newtown	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Newtown - Colwyn Bay	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.11.23	Newtown - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
29.11.23	Colwyn Bay - Gap Connahs Quay	2:3 ✺
25.11.23	Colwyn Bay - Pen-y-Bont	2:1 ✺
19.11.23	Pontypridd United - Colwyn Bay	0:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Newtown - Colwyn Bay	1:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.11.23	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
11.11.23	Newtown - Colwyn Bay	1:2 penalties
Welsh Cymru Premier
23.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Newtown	2:4

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