Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 17

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bridge Meadow Stadium (Haverfordwest)

Referee: Harman J. (Wal)


	Haverfordwest County		Colwyn Bay

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.68
	2.64	3.5	2.52
	2.70	3.57	2.38	Watch
	2.36	3.22	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.7)	3.4 ↓ (3.57)	2.56 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haverfordwest County
36.6%

Draw
27.2%

Colwyn Bay
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Colwyn Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colwyn Bay than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Haverfordwest will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Colwyn Bay will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colwyn Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rees L. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 20. Jones O. 19. Kenniford K. 11. Makwiramiti P. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. 8. Shephard C. 7. Watts R.	51. Brown A. (G) 7. Cumming J. 9. Davies J. 23. Edwards A. 6. Forde S. 25. Kargbo U. 4. Peate N. 11. Roberts E. 10. Robles L. 14. Williams A. 20. Williams A.
Substitutes
9. Fawcett B. 24. Humphreys I. 27. James O. 5. Jones A. 1. Knott I. (G) 14. Owen L. 21. Watkins A.	39. Attewell T. 26. Davies O. 19. Hill M. 38. Hoban B. 22. Kargbo I. 18. Nash R. 1. Williams R. (G)
Coaches
Pennock T.	Wilde M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jones O. ↓, Fawcett B. ↑,
60', Williams A. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Abbruzzese R. ⚽,
65', Williams A. ↓, Nash R. ↑,
71', Hill M. 🟨,
81', Kargbo U. ↓, Kargbo I. ↑,
86', Kenniford K. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+4', Watts R. ↓, Humphreys I. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Recent form of Haverfordwest has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colwyn Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Colwyn Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haverfordwest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haverfordwest won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 4:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Caernarfon Town - Haverfordwest County	2:2 ✺
Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Haverfordwest County - Barry Town United	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.11.25	Haverfordwest County - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Haverfordwest County	3:3 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
17.10.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLTL
- Colwyn Bay
Welsh Cymru Premier
08.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Colwyn Bay - Barry Town United	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Colwyn Bay	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Colwyn Bay - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:0 ✺
07.10.25	Flint Town United - Colwyn Bay	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru Premier
13.09.25	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	3:0
13.04.24	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	3:1
02.03.24	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	0:0
04.11.23	Haverfordwest County - Colwyn Bay	5:0
02.09.23	Colwyn Bay - Haverfordwest County	1:2

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