Match Info

Date: 8 September 2022, Thursday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Nice		Köln

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.62
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.6	3.35	2.72
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.65	3.43	2.67
	2.54	3.5	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	2.62 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
36.6%

Draw
27.5%

Köln
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

28.7%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.9%	20.9%	37.2%

Nice - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Köln will win (votes: 16 - 37.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 27.2% – 56.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Nice has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a chance of round of 16 (46%), has a chance of qtrs (28%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Köln has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (46%), has a chance of 2nd (27%), has a chance of 3rd (17%), has a good chance of round of 16 (65%), has a chance of qtrs (44%), has a chance of semis (27%), has a small chance of final (15%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 67, importance 69, match rating 68. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nice could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Brahimi B. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Köln: Andersson S. (Knee Injury) Limnios D. (Knee Injury) Uth M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Chabot J. (Ankle Injury) Olesen M. (Ankle Injury) Schmitz B. (Ankle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
04.09.22	Nice - Monaco	0:1 ✺
31.08.22	Lille - Nice	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Nice - Olympique Marseille	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Nice - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:0 ET ✺
French Ligue 1
21.08.22	Clermont - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
03.09.22	Wolfsburg - Köln	2:4 ✺
28.08.22	Köln - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.08.22	Videoton - Köln	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.08.22	Eintracht Frankfurt - Köln	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Köln - Videoton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWTL

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