Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Nice

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.2
	3.35	3.55	2.12
	3.26	3.45	2.31
	3.14	3.43	2.20	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.65	3.64	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.8)	3.46 ↓ (3.75)	2.18 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
28.9%

Draw
27.5%

Nice
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

23.3%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	18.2%	68.2%

Le Havre - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Nice will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Le Havre (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nice will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nice (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. (C) 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 70. Samatta A.	80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 28. Bah J. 37. Peprah K. 20. Louchet T. 6. Boudaoui H. 99. Abdul Samed S. 26. Bard M. (C) 21. Jansson I. 7. Boga J. 90. Kevin
Substitutes
23. Delaine T. 26. Ebonog S. 11. Kyeremeh G. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 21. Namli Y. 94. Toure A. 6. Youte Kinkoue E.	23. Bernardeau G. 92. Clauss J. 39. Coulibaly D. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 36. Koutoune H. 9. Moffi T. 49. Nguene B. 8. Sanson M.
Coaches
Digard D.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Mendy A. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Doucoure F. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
41', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Peprah K. ⚽, Boudaoui H. (A),
55', Bah J. 🟨,
55', Soumare I. 🟨,
60', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
60', Jansson I. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ⚽,
66', Ndiaye R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
67', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Delaine T. ↑,
67', Kechta Y. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
67', Boga J. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
67', Mendy A. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
82', Louchet T. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
82', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
85', Samatta A. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Diaw M. (A),
90+7', Kevin 🟨,

Preview

Le Havre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.

Recently, Nice has had a series of home games.

Nice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Hernia) Bombito M. (Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Le Havre: Pizarro D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J. (Inactive) Dante (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
24.08.25	Le Havre - Lens	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Monaco - Le Havre	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
30.07.25	Brest - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Nice - Toulouse	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Benfica - Nice	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Nice - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Nice - Sheffield United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.02.25	Le Havre - Nice	1:3
07.12.24	Nice - Le Havre	2:1
10.05.24	Nice - Le Havre	1:0
16.12.23	Le Havre - Nice	3:1

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