Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		Naftan

	1	X	2
	6	3.8	1.46
	6.72	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (2.65)	4.05 ↑ (3.3)	1.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
14.5%

Draw
22.8%

Naftan
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niva Dolbizno's form might have worsened.

Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naftan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (+21%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niva Dolbizno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naftan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Niva Dolbizno - Naftan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 18. Shcherbo V. (C) 47. Starostin V. 41. Tkhagalegov A. 88. Kozel R. 69. Yaroshik A. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Mulkevich D. 11. Yushchenko E.	13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 44. Sannikov A. 4. Kuchinskiy A. 5. Lebedev A. 88. Drabatovich A. 7. Kolyadko M. (C) 52. Kress E. 22. Yallet K. 17. Suchkov A. 10. Paparyga R. 11. Pranovich I.
Substitutes
15. Bloshuk D. 13. Chizh D. 3. Druchik M. 77. Grechikha M. 4. Ignatovskiy V. 91. Lesnyak D. 1. Meshchaninov A. (G)	79. Badoev K. 33. Ermidis G. 6. Kovsh K. 77. Litvinov A. 31. Lopaga J. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 92. Shchadin A. 14. Shedko E. 20. Susha A. 23. Tikhonov I.
Coaches
Prokopyuk A.	Kriushenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Pranovich I. ⚽, Suchkov A. (A),
25', Starostin V. 🟨,
26', Shcherbo V. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Yushchenko E. ⚽, Kozel R. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Paparyga R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Starostin V. 🟨,
56', Drabatovich A. 🟨,
57', Yaroshik A. 🟨,
59', 1 - 3, Paparyga R. (Pen),
74', Kuchinskiy A. 🟨,
75', Kuchinskiy A. 🟨,
75', Shcherbo V. 🟨,
86', Pranovich I. 🟨,
90+4', Shedko E. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Naftan is Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Naftan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Naftan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Niva Dolbizno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Including matches at home between the teams Niva Dolbizno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.11.24	Lokomotiv Gomel - Niva Dolbizno	4:0 ✺
02.11.24	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Molodechno - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Niva Dolbizno - Baranovichi	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	ML Vitebsk - Niva Dolbizno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLW
- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
30.11.24	Slutsk - Naftan	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Naftan - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:0 ✺
08.11.24	Slavia Mozyr - Naftan	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Naftan - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Isloch Minsk - Naftan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Cup
22.07.23	Niva Dolbizno - Naftan	3:2

Upcoming Matches