The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 54.2%
Draw 23.9%
CSKA Moscow 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.3%
28.1%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
25.8%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartak Moscow's performance.
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Spartak Moscow - CSKA Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 5. Barco E. 4. Djiku A. 83. Fernandes G. 68. Litvinov R. 10. Marquinhos 7. Solari P. 9. Ugalde M. 18. Umyarov N. 3. Wooh C. 47. Zobnin R.
49. Torop V. (G) 52. Bandikyan A. 6. Barinov D. 79. Danilov K. 22. Gajic M. 9. Gondou L. 4. Joao Victor 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 11. Musaev T. 10. Oblyakov I. (C)
Substitutes
97. Denisov D. 27. Dmitriev I. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 11. Garcia L. 35. Martins C. 24. Massalyga N. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 2. Reabciuk O. 14. Samoshnikov I. 17. Saus V. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 28. Zorin D.
67. Badmaev M. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 85. Besaev E. (G) 62. Firov I. 17. Glebov K. 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 27. Moises 20. Popovic M. 19. Ruiz D. 97. Voronov M.
Coaches
Carcedo J.
Igdisamov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Litvinov R. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
22', Danilov K. 🟨,
40', Litvinov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gondou L. ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
60', Marquinhos ↓, Martins C. ↑,
61', Barinov D. 🟨,
63', Bandikyan A. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
68', Oblyakov I. 🟨,
69', Joao Victor 🟨,
76', Ugalde M. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
76', Musaev T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
76', Zobnin R. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
89', Barco E. 🟨,
89', Barco E. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
89', Solari P. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
89', Glebov K. ↓, Firov I. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2.
In recent matches, Spartak M has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CSKA is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Spartak M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Spartak M is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.6:1.2).