The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Texas 43.6%
Draw 24.6%
Real Monarchs 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
24.8%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
23.1%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
North Texas - Real Monarchs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Montoya N. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 26. Starnes S. 14. Goncalves L. 15. Louis R. 27. Swann C. 32. Martins L. 11. James N. 16. Simmonds N. 10. Nys E.
99. Alphin R. (G) 88. Ream L. 47. Ewald F. 64. Kropp D. 77. Mesalles R. 45. Silva N. 61. Amparo I. 84. Sargis H. 30. Anderson O. 91. Lifferth Z. 38. Riquelme A.
Substitutes
12. Biggar J. 4. Charles I. 13. Dymora E. (G) 50. Garcia D. 25. Gibson J. 19. Luccin M. 6. Pela U. 23. Sedeh S. 53. Vejrostek L.
55. Calderon G. 50. Djiro L. 24. Kerkvliet M. (G) 46. Murphy I. 76. O'Gara L. 37. Rivera L. 41. Villa G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ream L. ⚽, Silva N. (A),
17', Riquelme A. 🟨,
38', Mesalles R. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', James N. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Simmonds N. ⚽, Garcia D. (A),
49', Mesalles R. ↓, Murphy I. ↑,
50', Ream L. ↓, O'Gara L. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ⚽, Louis R. (A),
63', Goncalves L. 🟨,
65', Sargis H. ↓, Villa G. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Swann C. ⚽,
66', Silva N. ↓, Djiro L. ↑,
70', Goncalves L. ↓, Vejrostek L. ↑,
70', Martins L. ↓, Charles I. ↑,
74', Murphy I. 🟨,
81', Louis R. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Alvaro Augusto ⚽,
86', Swann C. ↓, Pela U. ↑,
87', Charles I. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2.
North Texas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Real Monarchs is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, North Texas has had a series of home games.
Recently, Real Monarchs has had a series of away games.
North Texas might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that North Texas will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
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Montoya N. (G) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Louis R. 
James N. 
Simmonds N. 
Nys E. 
Ewald F. 
Riquelme A. 
Charles I. 
Luccin M. 
Pela U. 
Djiro L. 
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