The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 14.7%
Draw 21.2%
Arsenal 64.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.3%
23.9%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.3%
19.8%
70.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.3%
5.7%
81%
Norwich City - Arsenal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(128 of 158 users predict this - 81.01%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.89% – 87.13%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (43.6%), has project points - 28, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arsenal has the most likely position - 4 (28.93%), has project points - 64, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (39%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Arsenal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Arsenal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Norwich won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
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