The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United 46.7%
Draw 27%
Norwich City 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
25.7%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
17.2%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Norwich City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.3%
10%
11.7%
Newcastle United - Norwich City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Newcastle United will win
(141 of 180 users predict this - 78.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.31% – 84.35%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).
Newcastle has the most likely position - 20 (33.98%), has project points - 30, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (37.19%), has project points - 30, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (75%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Newcastle is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Norwich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Newcastle will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-6.
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