Network on TV: NBC (WESH -Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne, FL)
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Current Win Probability
Norwich City 13.5%
Draw 20.1%
Manchester United 66.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18%
22.4%
59.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
13.1%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norwich City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norwich City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-31.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.3%
7.3%
81.3%
Norwich City - Manchester United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Manchester United will win
(122 of 150 users predict this - 81.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.09% – 87.57%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 6).
Norwich has the most likely position - 20 (38.46%), has project points - 30, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (76%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Man Utd has the most likely position - 4 (20.41%), has project points - 60, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (26%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Norwich is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Man Utd is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Norwich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Man Utd is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Norwich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Norwich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-9.
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